Multimodal Learning for Robust Trajectory Prediction under Diverse Autonomous Driving Scenarios

Authors

  • Aili Nikula Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Nevada, Reno, Reno, NV, USA. Author
  • Charo Cano Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA. Author
  • Dawid Kucharz Department of Computer Science, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, USA. Author

Keywords:

multimodal learning; trajectory prediction; autonomous driving; robust systems; data curation; fairness; governance; edge computing; sustainability; safety assurance

Abstract

Trajectory prediction has become a central functional layer in autonomous driving systems, where vehicles must anticipate the movement of other road users under uncertainty, occlusion, interaction, and distribution shift. Multimodal learning offers a powerful route to robustness because it can combine cameras, lidar, radar, high-definition maps, vehicle telemetry, and infrastructure-side signals into shared or coordinated representations. Yet the promise of multimodal prediction cannot be reduced to model architecture. It is also a system-level problem involving data curation, sensor calibration, edge-cloud orchestration, lifecycle maintenance, fairness, governance, and sustainability. This paper examines multimodal learning for robust trajectory prediction under diverse autonomous driving scenarios through a socio-technical and infrastructural lens. It analyzes how curatorial discipline, fusion strategy, uncertainty management, and policy-aware assurance shape real-world performance. It considers structural trade-offs among latency, redundancy, coverage, cost, and equity, and it discusses how deployment choices influence robustness across urban, highway, adverse-weather, and mixed-traffic environments. The paper argues that robust prediction is achieved when multimodal architectures are embedded within accountable institutions, maintained data pipelines, resilient compute infrastructures, and transparent evaluation regimes. It concludes with a forward-looking research and governance agenda for resilient, fair, and sustainable autonomous mobility.

References

1. Vaswani, A., Shazeer, N., Parmar, N., Uszkoreit, J., Jones, L., Gomez, A. N., Kaiser, L., & Polosukhin, I. (2017). Attention is all you need. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 30, 5998-6008.

2. Liang, M., Yang, B., Hu, R., Chen, Y., Liao, R., Feng, S., & Urtasun, R. (2020). Learning lane graph representations for motion forecasting. In Computer Vision – ECCV 2020 (pp. 541-556). Springer.

3. Salzmann, T., Ivanovic, B., Chakravarty, P., & Pavone, M. (2020). Trajectron++: Dynamically-feasible trajectory forecasting with heterogeneous data. In Computer Vision – ECCV 2020 (pp. 683-700). Springer.

4. Alahi, A., Goel, K., Ramanathan, V., Robicquet, A., Fei-Fei, L., & Savarese, S. (2016). Social LSTM: Human trajectory prediction in crowded spaces. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 961-971). IEEE.

5. Yang, R., Xu, Y., Fu, Y., & Su, L. (2026). Den-tp: A density-balanced data curation and evaluation framework for trajectory prediction. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 10632-10641).

6. Caesar, H., Bankiti, V., Lang, A. H., Vora, S., Liong, V. E., Xu, Q., Krishnan, A., Pan, Y., Baldan, G., & Beijbom, O. (2020). nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous driving. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 11621-11631). IEEE.

7. Chang, M. F., Lambert, J., Sangkloy, P., Singh, J., Bak, S., Hartnett, A., Wang, D., Carr, P., Lucey, S., Ramanan, D., & Hays, J. (2019). Argoverse: 3D tracking and forecasting with rich maps. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 8748-8757). IEEE.

8. Ettinger, S., Cheng, S., Caine, B., Liu, C., Zhao, H., Pradhan, S., Chai, Y., Sapp, B., Qi, C. R., Zhou, Y., Yang, Z., Chouard, A., Sun, P., Ngiam, J., Vasudevan, V., McCauley, A., Shlens, J., & Anguelov, D. (2021). Large scale interactive motion forecasting for autonomous driving: The waymo open motion dataset. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF International Conference on Computer Vision (pp. 9710-9719). IEEE.

9. Zhan, W., Sun, L., Wang, D., Shi, H., Clausse, A., Naumann, M., Kummerle, J., Konigshof, H., Stiller, C., de La Fortelle, A., & Tomizuka, M. (2019). INTERACTION dataset: An INTERnational, Adversarial and Cooperative moTION dataset in interactive driving scenarios with semantic maps. arXiv preprint arXiv:1910.03088.

10. Cui, H., Radosavljevic, V., Chou, F. C., Lin, T. H., Nguyen, T., Huang, T. K., Schneider, J., & Djuric, N. (2019). Multimodal trajectory predictions for autonomous driving using deep convolutional networks. In 2019 International Conference on Robotics and Automation (pp. 2090-2096). IEEE.

11. Ngiam, J., Khosla, A., Kim, M., Nam, J., Lee, H., & Ng, A. Y. (2011). Multimodal deep learning. In Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 689-696). Omnipress.

12. Baltrušaitis, T., Ahuja, C., & Morency, L. P. (2019). Multimodal machine learning: A survey and taxonomy. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, 41(2), 423-443.

13. Xu, H., Gao, Y., Yu, F., & Darrell, T. (2017). End-to-end learning of driving models from large-scale video datasets. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 2174-2182). IEEE.

14. Kendall, A., Gal, Y., & Cipolla, R. (2018). Multi-task learning using uncertainty to weigh losses for scene geometry and semantics. In Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (pp. 7482-7491). IEEE.

15. Amodei, D., Olah, C., Steinhardt, J., Christiano, P., Schulman, J., & Mané, D. (2016). Concrete problems in AI safety. arXiv preprint arXiv:1606.06565.

16. Mehrabi, N., Morstatter, F., Saxena, N., Lerman, K., & Galstyan, A. (2021). A survey on bias and fairness in machine learning. ACM Computing Surveys, 54(6), 1-35.

17. Whittlestone, J., Nyrup, R., Alexandrova, A., & Cave, S. (2019). Ethical and societal implications of algorithms, data, and artificial intelligence: A roadmap for research. Nuffield Foundation.

18. Shalev-Shwartz, S., Shammah, S., & Shashua, A. (2017). On a formal model of safe and scalable self-driving cars. arXiv preprint arXiv:1708.06374.

Downloads

Published

2026-07-28